Back to Projects

Dynamic Pricing AI System

Real-Time Surge Pricing Using Reinforcement Learning

Introduction to Dynamic Pricing and Surge Models

In an era where demand shifts in real-time, static pricing systems fall short. Dynamic pricing, powered by AI and machine learning, enables businesses to respond to real-world events instantly. At Tecorb Technologies, we build intelligent surge pricing systems that analyze demand, supply, weather, traffic, and user behavior to adjust prices dynamically and fairly.

Surge pricing isn't just about increasing profits; it's about balancing market demand, ensuring availability, and maximizing fleet utilization. Our AI-powered models help platforms such as ride-hailing, food delivery, and logistics achieve equilibrium between customers and service providers.

Core Features of Our Dynamic Pricing System

Real-Time Demand & Supply Forecasting

Predict user demand and driver availability across zones and time intervals.

Context-Aware Fare Adjustment

Dynamically adjusts pricing based on weather, traffic, events, and ride density.

Reinforcement Learning Powered Pricing Agent

Learns continuously to optimize revenue and user satisfaction.

Adaptive Feedback Loop

Adjusts strategy based on real-time market feedback.

Machine Learning Architecture for Dynamic Pricing

Our surge pricing engine is powered by a hybrid ML stack:

  • 1
    Time-Series Forecasting Models: ARIMA, LSTM for short-term demand prediction.
  • 2
    Clustering Algorithms: K-means or DBSCAN to define high-demand zones.
  • 3
    Reinforcement Learning Agent: An actor-critic or Q-learning based policy optimizer to adjust price multipliers based on real-time outcomes.

Why Reinforcement Learning?

Traditional supervised learning fails to capture the dynamic feedback of pricing decisions. Reinforcement Learning (RL) allows the system to learn from interactions and optimize for long-term rewards like revenue, service balance, and user satisfaction.

Input Data Requirements

Rider Side Inputs

  • GPS-based pickup and drop location
  • Time of request and historical booking data
  • Device metadata (OS, app version, etc.)
  • Past cancellation or ride acceptance behavior

Driver Side Inputs

  • Current GPS location
  • Online/offline status
  • Vehicle type and capacity
  • Acceptance rate and ride completion ratio

Environmental and Contextual Data

  • Traffic congestion APIs (Google Maps, TomTom, etc.)
  • Weather APIs for rain, temperature, and visibility
  • Local events and holidays (via calendars or event feeds)
  • Historical demand patterns by location/time

Processing Pipeline: From Data to Surge Price

1

Data Ingestion

Raw data flows in from rider app, driver app, traffic APIs, weather sources, etc.

2

Preprocessing & Feature Engineering

Categorical encoding, normalization, and temporal bucketing.

3

Clustering

Zones are dynamically defined based on historical and real-time trip density.

4

Forecasting

LSTM model predicts demand for each zone over the next time window.

5

RL Agent Activation

Using predicted demand, agent sets optimal surge multiplier.

6

Pricing Engine

Combines base fare, distance, time, and surge factor.

7

Result API

Delivers real-time fare estimate to the user's mobile app.

Reinforcement Learning Engine Explained

State Space

  • Zone-specific demand/supply ratio
  • Time of day
  • Current surge multiplier
  • Traffic congestion level

Action Space

  • Adjust surge multiplier (e.g., +0.1, -0.1, hold)

Reward Function

  • +1 for trip booked within 1 minute
  • -1 for user cancellation
  • +0.5 for driver acceptance
  • Revenue maximized

The RL agent learns through millions of interactions, refining policies using exploration (trying new surge rates) and exploitation (applying best-known strategy).

Output and Impact

System Outputs

  • Surge Multiplier (e.g., 1.0x to 3.5x)
  • Final Fare Estimate
  • Driver-specific incentives
  • Ride availability estimate

Business Impact

  • Increased Revenue per Trip
  • Reduced Rider Wait Time
  • Higher Ride Completion Rate
  • Better Driver Allocation

Where This System Can Be Deployed

Ride-Hailing Platforms (Ola, Uber clones)

Food & Grocery Delivery Platforms

Logistics and Fleet Management

Airline and Train Fare Optimization

Scooter/Bike Rental Systems

Hotel and Accommodation Booking

Event and Ticketing Platforms

Deployment Options

Cloud-Based Deployment

Scalable Kubernetes pods on AWS, Azure, or GCP.

Edge-Device Deployment

Lightweight models on driver or vendor-side mobile apps.

API Integration

Secure, real-time RESTful/FastAPI-based endpoints.

Monitoring Dashboard

Admin panel with zone heatmaps, surge logs, and RL stats.

Real-World Case Study

A large Indian ride-hailing client used our system:

22%

increase in peak-hour revenue

17%

decrease in cancellations

25%

faster driver assignment

Why Choose Tecorb Technologies?

At Tecorb Technologies, we don't just build AI — we engineer intelligent ecosystems. With expertise in deploying real-time, scalable reinforcement learning systems, we tailor dynamic pricing engines to your specific business model.

  • Deep AI/ML & RL Experience
  • Custom-built microservices architecture
  • Interactive admin and analytics dashboards
  • Post-deployment tuning and SLA-driven support

Want to integrate intelligent pricing into your digital platform?
Let Tecorb Technologies help you balance demand, delight users, and drive revenue.

Interested in this project?

Pricing

Fixed Project Price

$4,800

Complete project implementation

Hourly Rate

$25/hour

For customizations & maintenance